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UBS has a positive outlook on the British pound (GBP), Australian dollar (AUD), and Swiss franc (CHF), citing high interest rates and expected monetary easing in the UK and Australia. The firm predicts GBP will rise to 1.35 and AUD to 0.68, while CHF is expected to decline to 0.84 due to narrowing interest rate differentials.In contrast, UBS maintains a neutral stance on the Japanese yen (JPY), forecasting a potential short-term rise to 155 but a medium-term decrease to 145 by 2025. The firm is bearish on the Chinese yuan (CNY), anticipating it will rise to 7.50 amid escalating US-China trade tensions and risks of further depreciation despite efforts to stabilize it.
UBS has a positive outlook on the British pound (GBP), Australian dollar (AUD), and Swiss franc (CHF), citing high interest rates and expected monetary easing in the UK and Australia. The firm predicts GBP will rise to 1.35 and AUD to 0.68, while CHF is expected to decline to 0.84 due to narrowing interest rate differentials.In contrast, UBS maintains a neutral stance on the Japanese yen (JPY), forecasting a potential short-term rise to 155 but a medium-term decrease to 145 by 2025. The firm is bearish on the Chinese yuan (CNY), anticipating it will rise to 7.50 amid escalating US-China trade tensions and risks of further depreciation despite efforts to stabilize it.
UBS is optimistic about the British pound (GBP), Australian dollar (AUD), and Swiss franc (CHF), predicting rises to 1.35 and 0.68 for GBP and AUD, respectively, due to high interest rates. The Swiss franc is expected to benefit from limited interest rate cuts, with a forecasted USD/CHF rate of 0.84.In contrast, UBS remains neutral on the Japanese yen (JPY), anticipating a potential rise to 155 in the short term but a decline to 145 by 2025. The outlook for the Chinese yuan (CNY) is bearish, with expectations of the USD/CNY rate reaching 7.50 by the end of 2025, driven by trade tensions and risks of further depreciation.
Tens of thousands of wealthy Americans are evading tax filings, exploiting a legal loophole that makes failing to file a return a misdemeanor, while filing false returns is a felony. Despite IRS efforts, only a fraction of high-income non-filers have complied, with significant revenue still uncollected. The Treasury proposes increasing penalties for chronic non-filers to enhance compliance and reduce the tax gap.
Trump's recent trade threats have prompted Mexico to deploy 6,000 troops to its southern border and revive the "remain in Mexico" policy. Canada, seeking to mitigate tensions, has engaged in talks emphasizing the economic risks of disrupted relations, while Prime Minister Trudeau hinted at a potential separate trade deal with the U.S. Economists warn that universal tariffs could lead to increased domestic prices and economic stagnation, although Trump's economic advisers suggest a more measured approach to tariffs, viewing them as tools for negotiation rather than immediate action.
Trump has appointed Greer, a former chief of staff to trade representative Lighthizer, as his trade chief, signaling a push for aggressive trade policies against China. Greer advocates for strict enforcement of existing trade agreements and new deals with countries like the U.K. and India, while downplaying inflation risks from tariffs. He emphasizes the need for long-term strategic competition with China, despite potential short-term costs for businesses.
President-elect Donald Trump has appointed attorney Jamieson Greer as the U.S. Trade Representative, emphasizing his role in implementing tariffs and replacing NAFTA with USMCA during Trump's first term. Greer, who previously served as chief of staff to USTR Robert Lighthizer, aims to reduce the trade deficit and expand export markets if confirmed by the Senate. Trump has also selected Howard Lutnick as commerce secretary, who will oversee the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative.
President-elect Donald Trump is set to announce Jamieson Greer as the new US Trade Representative, emphasizing the significant role of tariffs in his economic strategy. Trump plans to impose a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico, along with a 10% levy on Chinese goods, despite warnings from economists about potential inflation and increased national debt. Greer, a protégé of former Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer, is expected to be instrumental in executing these trade policies.
India is positioned as the most insulated emerging market against potential tariffs proposed by Donald Trump, according to CLSA's Alexander Redman. With limited trade exposure to the US and manageable leverage, India is less sensitive to external shocks compared to countries like Mexico and China, which have higher GDP reliance on US exports.
President-elect Donald Trump has not asked former US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer to return to lead trade policy in his new administration, despite earlier reports suggesting otherwise. Sources close to the situation have labeled those claims as "untrue." Lighthizer, a seasoned trade lawyer, has been advising Trump's 2024 campaign.
Robert Lighthizer
People
The information provided herein is generated by experimental artificial intelligence and is for informational purposes only.
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